HUMAN CAPABILITIES INDEX
Liberty × Human Development: Belarus
86.4
HCI Score
5
Liberty Score
+81.4
Gap (HCI leads Liberty)
Capable Autocracy
Quadrant Classification
LIBERTY × HCI: ALL 91 COUNTRIES
CAPABLE AUTOCRACY FREE & CAPABLE NEITHER FREE BUT STRUGGLING LIBERTY SCORE → HCI SCORE → 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 r = 0.619 Saudi Arabia Mali Singapore Somalia Norway Belarus
HCI TRAJECTORY (1800–2023)
0 20 40 60 80 100 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2023 88.6 86.4 Year HCI Score
KEY INDICATORS — PERCENTILE RANK AMONG 91 COUNTRIES
75th + 50–74th 25–49th Below 25th INDICATOR VALUE RANK 50th Adult Literacy 100 % 100th Infant Mortality ↓ 2 /1k 100th Electricity Access 100 % 100th Gender Dev. Index 1.010 98th Mean Schooling 12.4 yrs 77th Voter Turnout 73 % 68th Safe Water Access 99 % 60th GDP/Capita (PPP) $18,200 $ 53rd Life Satisfaction 5.5 /10 42nd Life Expectancy 73 yrs 36th ↓ = lower is better (inverted percentile). Sorted by rank, highest first. Rank among 91 countries.
LIBERTY–CAPABILITY INSIGHT
With a Liberty score of just 5 but an HCI of 86.4, Belarus exhibits one of the largest capability-liberty gaps in the dataset (+81.4 points). This extreme decoupling — high human development under authoritarian governance — defines the “capable autocracy” archetype. The historical pattern suggests these regimes can sustain material progress for decades, but the correlation data (r = 0.619) implies a long-run gravitational pull toward either liberalization or capability erosion.
Data: Human Capabilities Index (HCI) — 15 indicators, 91 countries, 1800–2023. Pearson r (Liberty × HCI) = 0.619. Download full dataset (XLSX) · JSON API